Downward revision of investment decisions after corporate tax hikes by Sebastian Link ... [et al.]
Contributor(s): Link, Sebastian
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Material type: 
ArticleSubject(s): IMPUESTO DE SOCIEDADES | POLITICA FISCAL | ANALISIS ECONOMICO | INDUSTRIA | ALEMANIA
In:
American Economic Journal : Economic Policy v. 16, n. 4, November 2024, p. 194-222.Summary: This paper estimates the causal effect of corporate tax hikes on firm investment based on more than 1,400 local tax changes. By observing planned and realized investment volumes in a representative sample of German manufacturing firms, we can study how tax hikes induce firms to revise their investment decisions. On average, the share of firms that invest less than previously planned increases by 3 percentage points after a tax hike. This effect is twice as large during recessions.
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This paper estimates the causal effect of corporate tax hikes on firm investment based on more than 1,400 local tax changes. By observing planned and realized investment volumes in a representative sample of German manufacturing firms, we can study how tax hikes induce firms to revise their investment decisions. On average, the share of firms that invest less than previously planned increases by 3 percentage points after a tax hike. This effect is twice as large during recessions.
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