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Labour taxes, market size and productivity growth Domenico Ferraro, Soroush Ghazi, Pietro F. Peretto

By: Ferraro, Domenico.
Contributor(s): Ghazi, Soroush | Peretto, Pietro F.
Material type: ArticleArticleSubject(s): SALARIOS | RENDIMIENTOS DE TRABAJO | IMPUESTOS | MERCADO | PRODUCTIVIDAD | DESARROLLO ECONOMICO | MODELOS ECONOMETRICOS In: The Economic Journal v. 133, n. 654, August 2023, p. 2210-2250Summary: How do changes in labour taxes affect innovation and aggregate productivity growth? To answer this question, we propose a quantitative, general equilibrium growth model featuring product and quality innovation with endogenous market structure, estimate its parameters and provide empirical validation for the propagation mechanism of labour tax changes. We find that a temporary cut in flat-rate labour taxes produces a growth acceleration in aggregate productivity, permanently increasing the path of real GDP per capita. Moreover, such permanent gains are sizeable even without long-run growth effects.
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How do changes in labour taxes affect innovation and aggregate productivity growth? To answer this question, we propose a quantitative, general equilibrium growth model featuring product and quality innovation with endogenous market structure, estimate its parameters and provide empirical validation for the propagation mechanism of labour tax changes. We find that a temporary cut in flat-rate labour taxes produces a growth acceleration in aggregate productivity, permanently increasing the path of real GDP per capita. Moreover, such permanent gains are sizeable even without long-run growth effects.

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