Unemployment insurance recipiency during the Covid-19 pandemic Eliza Forsythe
By: Forsythe, Eliza
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Material type: 
ArticleSubject(s): DESEMPLEO | SEGURO DE DESEMPLEO | PANDEMIAS | CORONAVIRUS | CRISIS ECONOMICAS | ESTADOS UNIDOS
In:
National Tax Journal v. 76, n. 2, June 2023, p. 367-391Summary: I estimate the share of eligible individuals who received unemployment insurance (UI) benefits during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. I use individual data on reported recipiency from the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS-ASEC) survey to validate a UI eligibility algorithm that I then apply to the monthly CPS data. Combined with administrative data on actual payments and adjustments for fraud, I estimate that 88 percent of eligible individuals received UI benefits. When I calculate recipiency by program, I find 98 percent of individuals who were eligible for standard UI received benefits, whereas only 76 percent of individuals who were eligible for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance received benefits.
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| OP 233/2023/2-1 Bias in tax progressivity estimates | OP 233/2023/2-2 The effect of tax price on donations | OP 233/2023/2-3 Income guarantee policy design | OP 233/2023/2-4 Unemployment insurance recipiency during the Covid-19 pandemic | OP 233/2023/2-5 Delivering aid to businesses through the payroll tax system | OP 233/2023/2-6 Forum | OP 233/2023/3 National Tax Journal |
Resumen.
Bibliografía.
I estimate the share of eligible individuals who received unemployment insurance (UI) benefits during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. I use individual data on reported recipiency from the Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS-ASEC) survey to validate a UI eligibility algorithm that I then apply to the monthly CPS data. Combined with administrative data on actual payments and adjustments for fraud, I estimate that 88 percent of eligible individuals received UI benefits. When I calculate recipiency by program, I find 98 percent of individuals who were eligible for standard UI received benefits, whereas only 76 percent of individuals who were eligible for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance received benefits.
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