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What difference does a health plan make? evidence from random plan assignment in Medicaid Michael Geruso, Timothy J. Layton and Jacob Wallace

By: Geruso, Michael.
Contributor(s): Layton, Timothy J | Wallace, Jacob.
Material type: ArticleArticleSubject(s): ASISTENCIA SANITARIA | POLITICA SANITARIA | GASTOS SANITARIOS | ESTADOS UNIDOS | MODELOS ECONOMETRICOS In: American Economic Journal : Applied Economics v.15, n. 3, July 2023, p. 341-379Summary: Exploiting the random assignment of Medicaid beneficiaries to managed care plans, we find substantial plan-specific spending effects despite plans having identical cost sharing. Enrollment in the lowest-spending plan reduces spending by at least 25 percent—primarily through quantity reductions—relative to enrollment in the highest-spending plan. Rather than reducing "wasteful" spending, lower-spending plans broadly reduce medical service provision—including the provision of low-cost, high-value care—and worsen beneficiary satisfaction and health. Consumer demand follows spending: a 10 percent increase in plan-specific spending is associated with a 40 percent increase in market share. These facts have implications for the government's contracting problem and program cost growth.
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Exploiting the random assignment of Medicaid beneficiaries to managed care plans, we find substantial plan-specific spending effects despite plans having identical cost sharing. Enrollment in the lowest-spending plan reduces spending by at least 25 percent—primarily through quantity reductions—relative to enrollment in the highest-spending plan. Rather than reducing "wasteful" spending, lower-spending plans broadly reduce medical service provision—including the provision of low-cost, high-value care—and worsen beneficiary satisfaction and health. Consumer demand follows spending: a 10 percent increase in plan-specific spending is associated with a 40 percent increase in market share. These facts have implications for the government's contracting problem and program cost growth.

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