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Globalization and pandemics Pol Antràs, Stephen J. Redding, Esteban Rossi-Hansberg

By: Antràs, Pol.
Contributor(s): Redding, Stephen | Rossi Hansberg, Esteban.
Material type: ArticleArticleSubject(s): GLOBALIZACION (ECONOMIA) | PANDEMIAS | COMERCIO | TURISMO | MODELOS ECONOMETRICOS In: The American Economic Review v. 113, n. 4, April 2023, p. 939-981 Summary: We provide theory and evidence on the relationship between globalization and pandemics. Business travel facilitates trade and travel leads to human interactions that transmit disease. Trade-motivated travel generates an epidemiological externality across countries. If infections lead to deaths, or reduce individual labor supply, we establish a general equilibrium social distancing effect, whereby increases in relative prices in unhealthy countries reduce travel to those countries. If agents internalize the threat of infection, we show that their behavioral responses lead to a reduction in travel that is larger for higher-trade-cost locations, which initially reduces the ratio of trade to output.
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We provide theory and evidence on the relationship between globalization and pandemics. Business travel facilitates trade and travel leads to human interactions that transmit disease. Trade-motivated travel generates an epidemiological externality across countries. If infections lead to deaths, or reduce individual labor supply, we establish a general equilibrium social distancing effect, whereby increases in relative prices in unhealthy countries reduce travel to those countries. If agents internalize the threat of infection, we show that their behavioral responses lead to a reduction in travel that is larger for higher-trade-cost locations, which initially reduces the ratio of trade to output.

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