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Fiscal rules and the sovereign default premium by Juan Carlos Hatchondo, Leonardo Martinez and Francisco Roch

By: Hatchondo, Juan Carlos.
Contributor(s): Martinez, Leonardo | Roch, Francisco.
Material type: ArticleArticleSubject(s): POLITICA FISCAL | DEUDA PUBLICA | DEFICIT PUBLICO | ESTADOS UNIDOS In: American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics v. 14, n. 4, October 2022, p. 244-273Summary: e study fiscal rules using a sovereign default model. A debt-brake (spread-brake) rule imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold. For our benchmark calibration, similar gains can be achieved with the optimal debt or spread brake. However, for a "Union" of heterogeneous economies, a common spread brake generates larger gains than a common debt brake. Furthermore, gains from abandoning a common debt brake may be significant for economies that are unnecessarily constrained by the rule. In contrast, abandoning a common spread brake would generate losses for any economy in the Union.
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e study fiscal rules using a sovereign default model. A debt-brake (spread-brake) rule imposes a ceiling on the fiscal deficit when the sovereign debt (spread) is above a threshold. For our benchmark calibration, similar gains can be achieved with the optimal debt or spread brake. However, for a "Union" of heterogeneous economies, a common spread brake generates larger gains than a common debt brake. Furthermore, gains from abandoning a common debt brake may be significant for economies that are unnecessarily constrained by the rule. In contrast, abandoning a common spread brake would generate losses for any economy in the Union.

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