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Debt constraints and employment Patrick J. Kehoe, Virgiliu Midrigan, Elena Pastorino

By: Kehoe, Patrick J.
Contributor(s): Midrigan, Virgiliu | Pastorino, Elena.
Material type: ArticleArticlePublisher: 2019Subject(s): RECESIONES ECONOMICAS | CRISIS FINANCIERA | SOBREENDEUDAMIENTO DE PARTICULARES | CONSUMO | REDUCCION | EMPLEO | ESTADOS UNIDOS | MODELOS ECONOMETRICOSOnline resources: Click here to access online In: Journal of Political Economy v. 127, n. 4, August 2019, p. 1926-1991Summary: During the Great Recession, US regions that experienced large declines in household debt also experienced large drops in consumption, employment, and wages. We develop a search and matching model in which tighter debt constraints raise the cost of investing in new job vacancies and so reduce job-finding rates and employment. On-the-job human capital accumulation is critical to generating sizable drops in employment: it increases the duration of the benefit flows from posting vacancies, thereby amplifying the employment drop from a credit tightening 10-fold relative to the standard model. Our model reproduces the salient cross-regional features of the US Great Recession.
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During the Great Recession, US regions that experienced large declines in household debt also experienced large drops in consumption, employment, and wages. We develop a search and matching model in which tighter debt constraints raise the cost of investing in new job vacancies and so reduce job-finding rates and employment. On-the-job human capital accumulation is critical to generating sizable drops in employment: it
increases the duration of the benefit flows from posting vacancies, thereby amplifying the employment drop from a credit tightening 10-fold relative to the standard model. Our model reproduces the salient cross-regional features of the US Great Recession.

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