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Perceptions and realities of average tax rates in the federal income tax : evidence from Michigan Charles L. Ballard and Sanjay Gupta

By: Ballard, Charles L.
Contributor(s): Gupta, Sanjay.
Material type: ArticleArticlePublisher: 2019Subject(s): RENTA | IMPUESTOS | TIPOS DE GRAVAMEN | PRESION FISCAL | CONTRIBUYENTES | OPINION PUBLICA | ESTADOS UNIDOS | ANÁLISIS DE REGRESIÓN In: National Tax Journal v. 71, n. 2, June 2018, p. 263-294Summary: We asked a random sample of the Michigan population to identify their average tax rate in the federal individual income tax. We find that 84.9 percent of respondents overstate their actual average tax rate, many by very large amounts, with the mean/median overstatement exceeding 11 percentage points. All demographic groups have substantial overstatements. Regression analysis indicates that, all else equal, average income-tax rates tend to be overstated to a greater extent by (1) those who believe taxes on households like theirs should be lower, (2) those who get tax-preparation assistance, and (3) those who believe tax dollars are spent ineffectively.
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We asked a random sample of the Michigan population to identify their average tax rate in the federal individual income tax. We find that 84.9 percent of respondents overstate their actual average tax rate, many by very large amounts, with the mean/median overstatement exceeding 11 percentage points. All demographic groups have substantial overstatements. Regression analysis indicates that, all else equal, average income-tax rates tend to be overstated to a greater extent by (1) those who believe taxes on households like theirs should be lower, (2) those who get tax-preparation assistance, and (3) those who believe tax dollars are spent ineffectively.

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