Basso, Henrique S.
The young, the old, and the Government demographics and fiscal multipliers / Henrique S. Basso, Omar Rachedi .-- , 2021
Resumen.
Bibliografía.
We document that government spending multipliers depend on the population age structure. Using the variation in military spending and birth rates across US states, we show that the local fiscal multiplier is 1.5 and increases with the population share of young people, implying multipliers of 1.1–1.9 in the interquartile range. A parsimonious life cycle open economy New Keynesian model with credit market imperfections and age-specific differences in labor supply and demand explains 87 percent of the relationship between local multipliers and demographics. The model implies that the US population aging between 1980 and 2015 caused a 38 percent drop in national government spending multipliers.
PRESUPUESTOS
GASTO PUBLICO
POLITICA FISCAL
POBLACION
ENVEJECIMIENTO
ESTADOS UNIDOS
EFECTO MULTIPLICADOR
Rachedi, Omar
American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics 1945-7707v. 13, n. 4, October 2021, p. 110-141
The young, the old, and the Government demographics and fiscal multipliers / Henrique S. Basso, Omar Rachedi .-- , 2021
Resumen.
Bibliografía.
We document that government spending multipliers depend on the population age structure. Using the variation in military spending and birth rates across US states, we show that the local fiscal multiplier is 1.5 and increases with the population share of young people, implying multipliers of 1.1–1.9 in the interquartile range. A parsimonious life cycle open economy New Keynesian model with credit market imperfections and age-specific differences in labor supply and demand explains 87 percent of the relationship between local multipliers and demographics. The model implies that the US population aging between 1980 and 2015 caused a 38 percent drop in national government spending multipliers.
PRESUPUESTOS
GASTO PUBLICO
POLITICA FISCAL
POBLACION
ENVEJECIMIENTO
ESTADOS UNIDOS
EFECTO MULTIPLICADOR
Rachedi, Omar
American Economic Journal : Macroeconomics 1945-7707v. 13, n. 4, October 2021, p. 110-141