000			01548nab a2200241 c 4500
999			_c149797 _d149797
003			ES-MaIEF
005			20240919145744.0
007			ta
008			240913s2024 gw |||p| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040			_aES-MaIEF _beng _cES-MaIEF
041			_aeng
100			_962093 _aCronin, David
245	1	0	_aInstitutional quality and official budgetary forecast performance in EU member states _c David Cronin and Niall Mclnerney
260			_c2024
504			_aBibliografía
520			_aMedium-term budgetary frameworks are institutional arrangements at national level intended to improve the official forecasts of EU member states. The influence of those frameworks, and other variables, on official forecasts of output growth and the budget balance ratio in 24 EU member states over the years 2008 to 2019 is assessed here using quantile regressions. The framework acts to offset undue optimism in forecasting, with that effect tending to be at its strongest at those quantiles where forecasts are at their most optimistic and the attendant danger of the breaching of deficit limits from that source is at its greatest. Such an institution then provides an ameliorating influence against general biases and factors that cause errors in official forecasts.
650		4	_948118 _aPREVISIONES ECONOMICAS
650		4	_943701 _aEQUILIBRIO ECONOMICO
650		0	_971139 _aUNION EUROPEA
700			_971961 _aMclnerney, Niall
773	0		_9172289 _oOP 207/2024/2 _tFinanzArchiv _w(IEF)21244 _x 0015-2218 _g v. 80, n. 2, June 2024, p. 165-192
942			_cART