000			02119nab a2200265 c 4500
999			_c149253 _d149253
003			ES-MaIEF
005			20240415171500.0
007			ta
008			240415t2023 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
024	7		_ahttps://doi.org/10.1086/727012
040			_aES-MaIEF _bspa _cES-MaIEF
100			_918809 _aConlin, Michael
245		0	_aAgenda-setting and tax referenda _bimplications for regression discontinuity identification strategy using election outcomes _c Michael Conlin and Paul N. Thompson
500			_aResumen.
504			_aBibliografía.
520			_aElection outcomes frequently have been used as a source of identification in regression discontinuity (RD) designs by political scientists and economists. This paper tests the validity of using this type of RD identification strategy in county, municipality, township, and school district tax referendum elections where the taxing authority has some discretion over the referendum structure and timing. Using optimal bandwidth specifications, we find discontinuities at the majority vote threshold for numerous referendum and election characteristics that correspond with referendum aspects over which taxing authorities have discretion, and we do not find discontinuities in characteristics over which taxing authorities have less discretion. In addition, when considering the distribution of election closeness, we find a change in the probability across the majority vote threshold for these types of referenda. These findings bring into question the validity of the RD identification strategy when the taxing authority has agenda-setting ability and the bandwidth selection is such that the estimated discontinuity uses election outcomes that are not extremely close to the cutoff.
650		4	_aINGRESOS FISCALES _947378
650		4	_aGASTO PUBLICO LOCAL _944650
650		4	_aVIVIENDA _948710
650		4	_aPRECIOS _948092
650		4	_aANÁLISIS DE REGRESIÓN _953408
700			_965237 _aThompson, Paul N.
773	0		_9171580 _oOP 233/2023/4 _tNational Tax Journal _w(IEF)86491 _x 0028-0283 _g v. 76, n. 4, December 2023, p. 869-896
942			_cART