000 02159nab a2200277 c 4500
999 _c145776
_d145776
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20220406171402.0
007 ta
008 220406s2022 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
100 1 _969717
_aMurtinu, Samuele
245 0 _aRational inattention and politics
_bhow parties use fiscal policies to manipulate voters
_c Samuele Murtinu, Giulio Piccirilli, Agnese Sacchi
260 _f2022
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aWe model a two-party electoral game with rationally inattentive voters. Parties are endowed with different administrative competencies and announce a fiscal platform to be credibly implemented in case of electoral success. The budgetary impact of each platform depends on the party’s competence and on a stochastic implementation shock. Voters rely on the announced platform to infer a party’s unobserved competence. In addition, voters receive noisy signals on the impact of each fiscal platform with noise depending ultimately on a voter’s cognitive skills. We predict that the interplay between the desire of parties to win the election (the incentive to manipulate voters’ beliefs) and voters’ (lack of) cognitive skills (the scope for manipulation) distorts fiscal policies towards excessive budget deficits. The mechanism is that parties attempt to manipulate inferences on their competencies by implementing a loose fiscal policy. The predictions are tested empirically on a sample of advanced economies over years 1999–2008. Our results remain stable after controlling for potentially confounding differences across countries and over time, along with unobserved heterogeneity. Finally,
650 _aPOLITICA FISCAL
_948067
650 4 _947972
_aPARTIDOS POLITICOS
650 4 _aVOTO
_955164
650 4 _941783
_aDEFICIT PUBLICO
650 4 _947776
_aMODELOS ECONOMETRICOS
700 1 _969718
_aPiccirilli, Giulio
700 _955945
_aSacchi, Agnese
773 0 _9167095
_dDordrecht Kluwer 1966
_oOP 1443/2022/3/4
_tPublic Choice
_w(IEF)124378
_x 0048-5829
_gv. 190, n. 3-4, March 2022, p. 365-386
942 _cART