000 02308nab a2200289 c 4500
999 _c145332
_d145332
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20220207171229.0
007 ta
008 220207t2021 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
100 _968042
_aKallen, Cody
245 0 _aEstimating the distributional implications of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act
_c Cody Kallen and Aparna Mathur
260 _c2021
500 _aResumen
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aThis paper provides a distributional analysis of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), with implications for American households from changes to the individual income and corporate income taxes. We model the impact on average tax rates and after-tax incomes using tax records data from the 2011 Internal Revenue Service public use file and the open-source Tax-Calculator microsimulation model. We find that the effects of the TCJA vary widely across and within income deciles depending upon family structure, the choice of equivalence scales, and whether the impacts are short term or long term. When appropriately accounting for differences in tax unit size, through 2025 the individual income tax changes of the TCJA appear progressive. Failing to account for these differences obscures these progressive effects because larger families benefiting from the expansion of the child tax credit have higher incomes. Combining individual income and business tax provisions in the static scenario, the TCJA is likely to result in short-term increases in after-tax incomes across all deciles, with longer-term decreases for the lower-income households if the individual income tax provisions are allowed to expire. Even in the short run, the gains are significantly lower for those below the top decile. In the long-run dynamic scenario, the TCJA appears regressive, with income gains skewed toward the top.
650 _aIMPUESTOS
_947460
650 _aPROGRESIVIDAD
_948160
650 _aREDISTRIBUCION
_948219
650 _aPOLITICA FISCAL
_948067
650 _aDERECHO TRIBUTARIO
_942375
650 _aEVALUACION
_944020
650 _aESTADOS UNIDOS
_942888
700 _954001
_aMathur, Aparna
773 0 _9166495
_oOP 233/2021/3
_tNational Tax Journal
_w(IEF)86491
_x 0028-0283
_gv. 74, n. 3, September 2021, p. 721-759
942 _cART