000 02044nab a2200289 c 4500
999 _c144536
_d144536
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20210825122405.0
007 ta
008 210825t2021 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
100 1 _969173
_aKomarek, Timothy M.
245 0 _aLocal fiscal adjustments from depopulation
_bevidence from the post–cold war defense contraction
_c Timothy M. Komarek and Gary A. Wagner
260 _c2021
500 _aDisponible también en formato electrónico.
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aIn this paper, we estimate the long-term causal effect of population losses on local government revenue, expenditure, and debt by exploiting a quasi-exogenous change that reduced the number of US military personnel by about 40 percent between the late 1980s and 2000. Aggregating across governmental units within commuting zones, we find that real per capita total revenues and expenditures remained unchanged for remaining citizens. At the same time, however, we note several important compositional effects. First, local governments appear to have offset reductions in state intergovernmental aid by increasing property tax revenues. Second, they significantly shifted the composition of expenditures by making disproportionately large cuts in capital spending, including cuts in K–12 education, to maintain levels for current operations. Third, localities increased their long-term nonguaranteed debt to finance investments not covered by general capital outlays. Taken together, these actions run the risk of hindering a region’s relative competitiveness in the long term.
650 4 _948031
_aPOBLACION
650 4 _948220
_aREDUCCION
650 4 _945217
_aHACIENDAS LOCALES
650 4 _944918
_aEJERCITO
650 4 _917793
_aAJUSTES FISCALES
650 4 _aESTADOS UNIDOS
_942888
700 1 _91795
_aWagner, Gary A.
773 0 _9165394
_oOP 233/2021/1
_tNational Tax Journal
_w(IEF)86491
_x 0028-0283
_gv. 74, n. 1, March 2021, p. 9-43
942 _cART