000 02331nab a2200289 c 4500
999 _c142978
_d142978
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20201014121332.0
007 ta
008 201014t2020 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
100 1 _968448
_aLachowska, Marta
245 _aExperience rating and the dynamics of financing unemployment insurance
_c Marta Lachowska, Wayne Vroman, and Stephen A. Woodbury
260 _c2020
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aThe surge of new claims for unemployment insurance (UI) following the COVID-19 pandemic is rapidly depleting states UI trust fund reserves. By early July, the trust funds of three of the four largest states (California, New York, and Texas) were already insolvent, requiring them to borrow to cover benefits. We first describe the condition of the states trust funds before the start of the pandemic-related recession and examine how the states different methods of financing UI were related to those conditions. States that indexed their UI payroll tax base to state average wages had reserves roughly twice those of states that did not index. We then analyze the dynamics of UI trust funds using vector autoregression. Our main finding is that, following a shock to benefit payments and the consequent drop in UI reserves, states reserves recover at different rates depending on their method of experience rating tax rates and whether they index their tax base. The trust funds of states using the most common type of UI financing, reserve-ratio experience rating and a fixed tax base, tend to require more than a decade to recover, whereas the trust funds of states using the benefit-ratio method tend to recover within five years whether or not they index. Federal legislation passed in March in response to the pandemic has implications for financing UI that we discuss in light of our findings.
650 _aPANDEMIAS
_967998
650 _aCORONAVIRUS
_967999
650 4 _aSEGURO DE DESEMPLEO
_948379
650 4 _aDEFICIT PUBLICO
_941783
650 4 _aESTADOS UNIDOS
_942888
700 1 _968449
_aVroman, Wayne
700 1 _968450
_aWoodbury, Stephen A.
773 0 _9163516
_oOP 233/2020/3
_tNational Tax Journal
_w(IEF)86491
_x 0028-0283
_gv. 73, n. 3, September 2020, p. 673-698
942 _cART