000 01928nab a2200289 c 4500
999 _c142976
_d142976
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20201014103414.0
007 ta
008 201014t2020 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
100 1 _954345
_aClemens, Jeffrey P.
245 0 _aImplications of the COVID-19 pandemic for state Government tax revenues
_c Jeffrey Clemens and Stan Veuger
260 _c2020
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aWe assess the COVID-19 pandemic's implications for state government sales and income tax revenues. We estimate that the economic declines implied by recent forecasts from the Congressional Budget Office will lead to a shortfall of roughly $106 billion in state sales and income tax revenues for the third quarter of 2020 through the second quarter of 2021 (the 2021 fiscal year for most states). This is equivalent to 0.5 percent of gross domestic product and 11.5 percent of our pre-COVID sales and income tax projection. Additional tax shortfalls from the second quarter of 2020 (the final quarter of most states 2020 fiscal years) may amount to roughly $42 billion. We discuss how these revenue declines fit into several pieces of the broader economic context. These include other revenues (e.g., university tuition and fees) that are also at risk, as well as spending needs necessitated by the public health crisis itself. Further dimensions of context involve fiscal support enacted through several pieces of federal legislation.
650 _aPANDEMIAS
_967998
650 _aCORONAVIRUS
_967999
650 _aIMPUESTOS
_947460
650 4 _948197
_aRECAUDACION
650 4 _947378
_aINGRESOS FISCALES
650 4 _aESTADOS UNIDOS
_942888
700 1 _967565
_aVeuger, Stan
773 0 _9163516
_oOP 233/2020/3
_tNational Tax Journal
_w(IEF)86491
_x 0028-0283
_gv. 73, n. 3, September 2020, p. 619-644
942 _cART