000 01981nab a2200265 c 4500
999 _c142356
_d142356
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20200818112103.0
007 ta
008 200818t2020 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
100 1 _968127
_aDrautzburg, Thorsten‏
245 2 _aA narrative approach to a fiscal DSGE model
_c Thorsten Drautzburg
260 _c2020
500 _aDisponible también en formato electrónico.
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aStructural DSGE models are used for analyzing both policy and the sources ofbusiness cycles. Conclusions based on full structural models are, however, poten-tially affected by misspecification. A competing method is to use partially identi-fied SVARs based on narrative shocks. This paper asks whether both approachesagree. Specifically, I use narrative data in a DSGE-SVAR that partially identify pol-icy shocks in the VAR and assess the fit of the DSGE model relative to this nar-rative benchmark. In developing this narrative DSGE-SVAR, I develop a tractableBayesian approach to proxy VARs and show that such an approach is valid formodels with a certain class of Taylor rules. Estimating a DSGE-SVAR based on astandard DSGE model with fiscal rules and narrative data, I find that the DSGEmodel identification is at odds with the narrative information as measured by themarginal likelihood. I trace this discrepancy to differences in impulse responses,identified historical shocks and policy rules. The results indicate monetary ac-commodation of fiscal shocks
650 4 _948067
_aPOLITICA FISCAL
650 4 _948062
_aPOLITICA MONETARIA
650 4 _947776
_aMODELOS ECONOMETRICOS
773 0 _9162504
_oOP 2132/2020/2
_tQuantitative economics : journal of the Econometric Society
_w(IEF)134784
_x 1759-7323 [print]
_gv. 11, n. 2, May 2020, p. 801-837
856 _uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.3982/QE1083
942 _cART