000 01765nab a2200265 c 4500
999 _c141429
_d141429
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20191126122650.0
007 ta
008 191126s2019 gw ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
100 1 _950231
_aAfonso, António
245 0 _aFiscal reaction functions across the world
_bin quest of statistical (in)significance
_cAntónio Afonso and João Tovar Jalles
260 _c2019
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aWe estimate fiscal reaction functions for a panel of 173 countries using data between 1970 and 2014. Most notably, we assess the existence of non-Ricardian regimes, as postulated in the fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL), or, contrarily, the possibility of Ricardian regimes. We find that governments have on average increased the primary balance as a response to higher previous government indebtedness, implying a Ricardian fiscal regime. In addition, the Ricardian results are confirmed for the advanced countries and for the euro area group. A more Ricardian fiscal regime emerged after 1995 and notably in the subperiod 2008–2014, after the global financial crisis (before that, statistical insignificance is the norm). From a P-VAR analysis, we find that increases in government indebtedness increase primary balances, supporting overall the existence of an average Ricardian fiscal regime.
650 4 _948067
_aPOLITICA FISCAL
650 4 _941525
_aCRISIS ECONOMICAS
650 4 _925830
_aANALISIS DE DATOS
650 4 _944653
_aFUNCIONES MATEMATICAS
700 1 _960498
_aJalles, João Tovar
773 0 _9161311
_oOP 207/2019/3
_tFinanzArchiv
_w(IEF)21244
_x 0015-2218
_g v. 75, n. 3, September 2019, p. 207-228
942 _cART