000 02075nab a2200289 c 4500
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20190213182405.0
007 ta
008 190213t2018 uk ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
245 0 _aBrexit and uncertainty
_b : insights from the decision maker panel
_c Nicholas Bloom ... [et al.]
260 _c2018
500 _aDisponible también en formato electrónico a través de la Biblioteca del IEF.
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aThe UK’s decision to leave the EU in the 2016 referendum created substantial uncertainty for UK businesses. The nature of this uncertainty is different from that of a typical uncertainty shock because of its length, breadth and political complexity. Consequently, a new firm-level survey, the Decision Maker Panel (DMP), was created to investigate this, finding three key results. First, Brexit was reported to be one of the top three sources of uncertainty for around 40 per cent of UK businesses in the two years after the vote in the June 2016 referendum, and this proportion increased further in Autumn 2018. Hence, Brexit provided both a major and persistent uncertainty shock. Second, uncertainty has been higher in industries that are more dependent on trade with the EU and on EU migrant labour. Third, the uncertainties around Brexit are primarily about the impact on businesses over the longer term rather than shorter term, including uncertainty about the timing of any transition arrangements and around the nature of Brexit.
650 4 _948241
_aREINO UNIDO
650 4 _964535
_aSALIDA DE LA UNIÓN EUROPEA
650 4 _932202
_aASPECTOS ECONOMICOS
650 4 _947465
_aINCERTIDUMBRE
650 4 _948066
_aPOLITICA ECONOMICA
700 1 _96146
_aBloom, Nicholas Alexander
773 0 _9158612
_oOP 1472/2018/4
_tFiscal Studies
_w(IEF)55561
_x 0143-5671 [papel]
_g v. 39, n. 4, December 2018, p. 555-580
856 _uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1475-5890.12179
942 _cART
999 _c139897
_d139897