000 01888nab a2200289 c 4500
003 ES-MaIEF
005 20190211133112.0
007 ta
008 190211t2019 us ||||| |||| 00| 0|eng d
040 _aES-MaIEF
_bspa
_cES-MaIEF
041 _aeng
100 1 _966954
_aFerriere, Axelle
245 _aFiscal austerity in ambiguous times
_c by Axelle Ferriere and Anastasios G. Karantounias
260 _c2019
500 _aResumen.
504 _aBibliografía.
520 _aThis paper analyzes optimal fiscal policy with ambiguity aversion and endogenous government spending. We show that without ambiguity, optimal surplus-to-output ratios are acyclical and that there is no rationale for either reduction or further accumulation of public debt. In contrast, ambiguity about the cycle can generate optimally policies that resemble “austerity” measures. Optimal policy prescribes higher taxes in adverse times and front-loaded fiscal consolidations that lead to a balanced primary budget in the long run. This is the case when interest rates are sufficiently responsive to cyclical shocks, that is, when the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is sufficiently low.
650 4 _948067
_aPOLITICA FISCAL
650 4 _944787
_aGASTO PUBLICO
650 4 _948220
_aREDUCCION
650 4 _948131
_aPRESUPUESTOS
650 4 _947776
_aMODELOS ECONOMETRICOS
700 1 _961013
_aKarantounias, Anastasios G.
773 0 _9158826
_oOP 2137/2019/1
_tAmerican Economic Journal. Macroeconomics
_w(IEF)64915
_x 1945-7707
_g v. 11, n. 1, January 2019, p. 89-131
856 _uhttp://resolver.ebscohost.com/openurl?sid=EBSCO%3aeoh&genre=article&issn=19457707&ISBN=&volume=11&issue=1&date=20190101&spage=89&pages=89-131&title=American+Economic+Journal%3a+Macroeconomics&atitle=Fiscal+Austerity+in+Ambiguous+Times&aulast=Ferriere%2c+Axelle&id=DOI%3a&site=ftf-live
942 _cART
999 _c139875
_d139875