Belke, Ansgar
Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond a global VAR approach / Ansgar H. Belke and Thomas U. Osowski .-- , 2019
Resumen.
Bibliografía.
This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically using a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. Our aim was to look at the sign and the absolute values of fiscal spillovers in a countrywise perspective and at the time profile (impulse response) of the impacts of fiscal shocks.
We find moderate spillover effects of fiscal policy shocks originating in Germany and France. However, there is significant variation regarding the magnitude of the spillovers on individual destination countries and country clusters. Furthermore, we find some evidence that German or French fiscal spillovers are stronger on EMU than on non-EMU countries.
POLITICA FISCAL
INCIDENCIA Y TRASLACION
UNION ECONOMICA Y MONETARIA
ANÁLISIS DE REGRESIÓN
Osowski, Thomas
Scottish Journal of Political Economy 0036-9292 v. 66, n. 1, February 2019, p. 54-93
Measuring fiscal spillovers in EMU and beyond a global VAR approach / Ansgar H. Belke and Thomas U. Osowski .-- , 2019
Resumen.
Bibliografía.
This paper identifies and measures fiscal spillovers in the EU countries empirically using a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model. Our aim was to look at the sign and the absolute values of fiscal spillovers in a countrywise perspective and at the time profile (impulse response) of the impacts of fiscal shocks.
We find moderate spillover effects of fiscal policy shocks originating in Germany and France. However, there is significant variation regarding the magnitude of the spillovers on individual destination countries and country clusters. Furthermore, we find some evidence that German or French fiscal spillovers are stronger on EMU than on non-EMU countries.
POLITICA FISCAL
INCIDENCIA Y TRASLACION
UNION ECONOMICA Y MONETARIA
ANÁLISIS DE REGRESIÓN
Osowski, Thomas
Scottish Journal of Political Economy 0036-9292 v. 66, n. 1, February 2019, p. 54-93